The Green Lumber Fallacy

Here is the link to a discussion of it.
The green-lumber fallacy can be considered to be a special case of succumbing to a red herring.
In the article given by the above link, they merely point out that expertise in a sport does not translate to being an expert in betting on that sport. Such a declaration is easy to grasp, but can be etched much more sharply, by bringing up the old joke about the boxer asked about his opinion of Shakespeare. The boxer replied, “I’ll moider da bum.” Taking the joke at face value, we can ask: would you trust this boxer with placing bets on boxing matches?
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